Final tracked odds
As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 32%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since October 23, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on November 3, 2026
32%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Nov 1 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | 32% | ▲ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | 32% |
| 2026-11-01 | 30% |
| 2026-10-25 | 27% |
| 2026-10-24 | 28% |
| 2026-10-23 | 37% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, November 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 32%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 5 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 37% on October 23, 2026 to 32% on November 3, 2026 — a change of 5 points.
- Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 5 tracked days the odds ranged between 27% and 37%. The final reading of 32% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026” for 5 days, since October 23, 2026. As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 32%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 37% to 32%, ranging between 27% and 37% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on November 3, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.