Final tracked odds
As of October 22, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 24%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
Everything Else · tracked since September 5, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 22, 2026
24%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 9 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | — | 24% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Before Nov 16, 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 24% |
| 2026-09-09 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO” for 1 day, since September 5, 2026. As of October 22, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 24%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 24% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 22, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.