Where will Rodri go next — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, August 17, 2026, Barcelona led at 98%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Where will Rodri go next — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 19 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 2% on July 24, 2026 to 98% on August 17, 2026 — a change of 96 points.

Where will Rodri go next — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 19 tracked days the odds ranged between 2% and 98%. The final reading of 98% sits at the top of that range.

Where will Rodri go next?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Where will Rodri go next?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since July 24, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 17, 2026

98%

Final tracked odds

As of August 17, 2026, market-consensus odds make Barcelona the most likely outcome at 98%.

▲ 12 since the previous update. ▲ 12 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 96% on August 17, 2026. Barcelona won.

How the odds have moved

BarcelonaReal Madrid

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 10	Today	Move
Barcelona	86%	98%	▲ 12
Real Madrid	2%	2%	—

Full history table

Date	Barcelona	Real Madrid
2026-08-17	98%	2%
2026-08-10	86%	2%
2026-08-09	88%	4%
2026-08-08	86%	4%
2026-08-07	82%	2%
2026-08-06	40%	36%
2026-08-05	17%	67%
2026-08-04	11%	76%
2026-08-03	2%	68%
2026-08-02	2%	71%
2026-08-01	2%	74%
2026-07-31	2%	76%
2026-07-30	2%	80%
2026-07-29	2%	82%
2026-07-28	6%	60%
2026-07-27	6%	68%
2026-07-26	8%	64%
2026-07-25	10%	68%
2026-07-24	2%	50%
2026-07-23 *	0%	1.0%
2026-07-22 *	1.0%	60%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Where will Rodri go next — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 17, 2026, Barcelona led at 98%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Where will Rodri go next — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 19 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 2% on July 24, 2026 to 98% on August 17, 2026 — a change of 96 points.
Where will Rodri go next — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 19 tracked days the odds ranged between 2% and 98%. The final reading of 98% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Where will Rodri go next” for 19 days, since July 24, 2026. As of August 17, 2026, Barcelona leads the field at 98%. The final tracked chance for Barcelona has risen from 2% to 98%, ranging between 2% and 98% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 17, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.