Today’s odds
As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds make Alexander Zverev the most likely outcome at 24%.
▲ 4 since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Tennis · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET
24%
How the odds have moved
Alexander ZverevAlexander BlockxAlex MichelsenStefanos TsitsipasKaren Khachanov
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 5 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 20% | 24% | ▲ 4 |
| Alexander Blockx | — | 1.5% | — |
| Alex Michelsen | 0.9% | 1.1% | — |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0.9% | 1.1% | — |
| Karen Khachanov | — | 1.0% | — |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 0.6% | 0.3% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Alexander Zverev | Alexander Blockx | Alex Michelsen | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Karen Khachanov | Tomas Martin Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 24% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 2026-09-05 | 20% | — | 0.9% | 0.9% | — | 0.6% |
| 2026-09-04 | — | — | 0.6% | — | — | 0.2% |
| 2026-09-03 | — | — | 0.6% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | — | — | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | — | 0.2% | — | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | 21% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 | 11% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-09 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-08 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-07 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 2026-08-04 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-02 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-01 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 2026-07-27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 2026-07-17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
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| 2026-07-15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-09 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-08 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-07 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will win the 2026 Men's US Open — what are the odds?
- As of September 6, 2026, Alexander Zverev leads at 24%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will win the 2026 Men's US Open — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 11% on August 21, 2026 to 24% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 13 points.
- Who will win the 2026 Men's US Open — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 11% and 24%. The current reading of 24% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 Men's US Open” for 4 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, Alexander Zverev leads the field at 24%. The chance for Alexander Zverev has risen from 11% to 24%, ranging between 11% and 24% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.