The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026 World Series?

MLB · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

7%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; the Atlanta Braves leads at 7%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

the Atlanta Bravesthe Cleveland Guardiansthe Seattle Marinersthe Texas Rangersthe New York Mets
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 22Aug 6Aug 22Sep 6the Atlanta Braves — Jul 7: 7%the Atlanta Braves — Sep 6: 7%7%the Cleveland Guardians — Jul 14: 3%the Cleveland Guardians — Sep 6: 2%the Seattle Mariners — Aug 16: 1.4%the Seattle Mariners — Sep 6: 1.1%the Texas Rangers — Jul 7: 2%the Texas Rangers — Sep 6: 0.9%the New York Mets — Jul 7: 0.7%the New York Mets — Sep 6: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
the Atlanta Braves7%7%
the Cleveland Guardians2%2%
the Seattle Mariners1.4%1.1%
the Texas Rangers0.9%0.9%
the New York Mets0.1%0.1%
Full history table
Datethe Atlanta Bravesthe Cleveland Guardiansthe Seattle Marinersthe Texas Rangersthe New York Mets
2026-09-067%2%1.1%0.9%0.1%
2026-09-057%2%1.4%0.9%0.1%
2026-09-042%2%1.1%0.1%
2026-09-032%2%0.9%0.1%
2026-09-026%2%2%1.1%0.1%
2026-09-012%2%1.1%0.1%
2026-08-316%2%1.1%0.1%
2026-08-306%2%1.2%0.1%
2026-08-296%2%1.4%0.1%
2026-08-286%2%1.4%0.1%
2026-08-276%2%1.4%0.1%
2026-08-266%2%1.4%0.1%
2026-08-256%2%2%0.1%
2026-08-246%1.4%2%1.4%0.1%
2026-08-236%1.1%2%1.4%0.1%
2026-08-227%1.1%1.4%0.1%
2026-08-217%0.9%2%1.4%0.1%
2026-08-207%0.9%2%1.2%0.1%
2026-08-191.0%2%1.2%0.1%
2026-08-187%0.9%1.5%1.1%0.1%
2026-08-170.8%1.5%1.1%0.1%
2026-08-161.1%1.4%1.2%0.1%
2026-08-151.1%1.2%0.1%
2026-08-147%1.1%1.2%0.1%
2026-08-137%1.1%2%0.1%
2026-08-127%0.8%2%0.1%
2026-08-117%1.1%2%0.1%
2026-08-107%1.2%2%0.1%
2026-08-091.2%1.2%0.1%
2026-08-081.2%1.1%0.1%
2026-08-077%0.9%1.2%0.1%
2026-08-061.4%1.2%
2026-08-051.4%1.2%
2026-08-041.5%1.3%
2026-08-031.4%1.3%
2026-08-027%1.3%2%
2026-08-012%2%
2026-07-317%2%2%0.1%
2026-07-307%2%3%0.1%
2026-07-297%3%3%0.4%
2026-07-287%3%3%0.4%
2026-07-277%3%3%0.4%
2026-07-267%3%3%0.4%
2026-07-257%3%2%0.4%
2026-07-247%3%2%0.4%
2026-07-237%3%2%0.4%
2026-07-227%3%2%0.4%
2026-07-217%2%2%0.4%
2026-07-207%2%2%0.4%
2026-07-197%2%0.5%
2026-07-187%2%0.5%
2026-07-177%3%2%0.5%
2026-07-167%3%2%0.5%
2026-07-158%3%2%0.5%
2026-07-148%3%2%0.5%
2026-07-137%3%0.5%
2026-07-128%3%0.7%
2026-07-117%2%0.7%
2026-07-107%2%0.7%
2026-07-097%2%0.7%
2026-07-087%2%0.7%
2026-07-077%2%0.7%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026 World Series — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 7%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026 World Series — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 48 tracked days the odds held near 7%, ending at 7% on September 6, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 World Series” for 48 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — the Atlanta Braves leads at 7%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 7%, ranging between 6% and 8% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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