Final tracked odds
As of October 25, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 16%.
▼ 12 since the previous update. ▼ 7 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will win the 2026 World Series?
MLB · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 25, 2026
16%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 24 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| the Tampa Bay Rays | 27% | 16% | ▼ 12 |
Full history table
| Date | the Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | 16% |
| 2026-10-24 | 27% |
| 2026-10-23 | 36% |
| 2026-10-22 | 37% |
| 2026-10-21 | 37% |
| 2026-10-20 | 38% |
| 2026-10-19 | 32% |
| 2026-10-18 | 22% |
| 2026-10-17 | 16% |
| 2026-10-16 | 15% |
| 2026-10-15 | 23% |
| 2026-10-14 | 22% |
| 2026-10-13 | 17% |
| 2026-10-12 | — |
| 2026-10-11 | — |
| 2026-10-10 | — |
| 2026-10-09 | — |
| 2026-10-08 | — |
| 2026-10-07 | — |
| 2026-10-06 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | — |
| 2026-09-03 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | — |
| 2026-08-26 | — |
| 2026-08-25 | — |
| 2026-08-24 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | — |
| 2026-08-21 | — |
| 2026-08-20 | — |
| 2026-08-19 | — |
| 2026-08-18 | — |
| 2026-08-17 | — |
| 2026-08-16 | — |
| 2026-08-15 | — |
| 2026-08-14 | — |
| 2026-08-13 | — |
| 2026-08-12 | — |
| 2026-08-11 | — |
| 2026-08-10 | — |
| 2026-08-09 | — |
| 2026-08-08 | — |
| 2026-08-07 | — |
| 2026-08-06 | — |
| 2026-08-05 | — |
| 2026-08-04 | — |
| 2026-08-03 | — |
| 2026-08-02 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | — |
| 2026-07-30 | — |
| 2026-07-29 | — |
| 2026-07-28 | — |
| 2026-07-27 | — |
| 2026-07-26 | — |
| 2026-07-25 | 6% |
| 2026-07-24 | 5% |
| 2026-07-23 | — |
| 2026-07-22 | — |
| 2026-07-21 | 4% |
| 2026-07-20 | 5% |
| 2026-07-19 | 5% |
| 2026-07-18 | 5% |
| 2026-07-17 | 5% |
| 2026-07-16 | 5% |
| 2026-07-15 | 5% |
| 2026-07-14 | 5% |
| 2026-07-13 | 5% |
| 2026-07-12 | 6% |
| 2026-07-11 | 7% |
| 2026-07-10 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | — |
| 2026-07-08 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will win the 2026 World Series — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 25, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 16%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will win the 2026 World Series — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 26 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 7% on July 11, 2026 to 16% on October 25, 2026 — a change of 9 points.
- Who will win the 2026 World Series — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 26 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 38%. The final reading of 16% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 World Series” for 26 days, since July 7, 2026. As of October 25, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 16%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 7% to 16%, ranging between 4% and 38% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 25, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.