The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 3:00 PM ET

2%

Today’s odds

As of November 4, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Shohei Ohtani leads at 2%.

▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Shohei OhtaniElly De La CruzMookie Betts
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 20Aug 11Sep 14Oct 13Nov 4Shohei Ohtani — Jul 21: 77%Shohei Ohtani — Nov 4: 2%2%Elly De La Cruz — Jul 20: 0.1%Elly De La Cruz — Nov 4: 0.1%Mookie Betts — Jul 20: 0.1%Mookie Betts — Nov 4: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeNov 3TodayMove
Shohei Ohtani0.9%2%▲ 1
Elly De La Cruz—0.1%—
Mookie Betts—0.1%—
Full history table
DateShohei OhtaniElly De La CruzMookie Betts
2026-11-042%0.1%0.1%
2026-11-030.9%——
2026-11-02—0.1%0.1%
2026-11-011.3%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-311.3%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-302%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-290.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-280.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-270.6%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-260.7%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-250.6%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-241.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-231.0%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-221.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-211.0%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-201.0%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-19—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-18—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-17—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-16—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-15—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-14—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-13—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-11—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-10—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-08—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-05—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-04—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-03—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-02—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-01—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-300.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-290.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-280.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-260.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-250.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-240.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-230.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-220.8%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-210.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-191.0%——
2026-09-180.9%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-170.9%—0.1%
2026-09-162%—0.1%
2026-09-151.5%——
2026-09-142%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-131.3%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-120.2%—0.1%
2026-09-11—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-10—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-09—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-08——0.1%
2026-09-07—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-06—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-05——0.1%
2026-09-04—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-03—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-02—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-01—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-19—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-18—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-17—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-16—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-15—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-14—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-13—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-12—0.2%0.1%
2026-08-11—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-10—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-09—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-08—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-07—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-06—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-05—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-04—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-03—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-02—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-01—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-31—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-30—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-29—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-28—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-27—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-2666%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-25—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-2476%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-2376%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-2276%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-2177%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-20—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-16—0.5%0.1%
2026-07-15—0.5%0.1%
2026-07-14——0.1%
2026-07-13—1.1%—
2026-07-12—1.1%—
2026-07-11—1.1%—
2026-07-10—1.1%—
2026-07-09—1.1%—
2026-07-08—1.1%—
2026-07-07—1.1%—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026 National League MVP Award — what are the odds?
As of November 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026 National League MVP Award — have the odds gone up or down?
Down. Over the 37 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 77% on July 21, 2026 to 2% on November 4, 2026 — a change of 75 points.
Who will win the 2026 National League MVP Award — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 37 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.2% and 77%. The current reading of 2% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 National League MVP Award” for 37 days, since July 7, 2026. As of November 4, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Shohei Ohtani leads at 2%. The chance for the leading outcome has fallen from 77% to 2%, ranging between 0.2% and 77% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

More questions we track

The Morning Line reports market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. The numbers are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.