The Morning Line

Who will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

NFL · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

0.5%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Las Vegas Raiders leads at 0.5%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Las Vegas RaidersCleveland Browns
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 23Aug 6Aug 21Sep 6Las Vegas Raiders — Jul 14: 2%Las Vegas Raiders — Sep 6: 0.5%0.5%Cleveland Browns — Jul 7: 2%Cleveland Browns — Sep 6: 0.4%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
Las Vegas Raiders0.7%0.5%
Cleveland Browns0.4%0.4%
Full history table
DateLas Vegas RaidersCleveland Browns
2026-09-060.5%0.4%
2026-09-050.7%0.4%
2026-09-040.7%0.4%
2026-09-030.4%
2026-08-310.6%
2026-08-300.6%
2026-08-290.6%
2026-08-280.6%0.4%
2026-08-270.6%0.4%
2026-08-260.7%0.8%
2026-08-250.7%0.8%
2026-08-240.8%0.8%
2026-08-230.7%0.8%
2026-08-220.7%0.8%
2026-08-211.1%0.8%
2026-08-201.2%0.8%
2026-08-190.8%
2026-08-180.9%
2026-08-171.5%
2026-08-162%
2026-08-152%
2026-08-142%
2026-08-132%
2026-08-122%
2026-08-11
2026-08-10
2026-08-09
2026-08-08
2026-08-07
2026-08-06
2026-08-05
2026-08-04
2026-08-03
2026-08-02
2026-08-01
2026-07-312%
2026-07-302%
2026-07-292%
2026-07-282%
2026-07-272%
2026-07-262%2%
2026-07-252%2%
2026-07-242%2%
2026-07-232%
2026-07-222%
2026-07-212%
2026-07-202%
2026-07-192%
2026-07-182%
2026-07-172%
2026-07-152%
2026-07-142%
2026-07-132%
2026-07-122%
2026-07-112%
2026-07-102%
2026-07-082%
2026-07-072%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.5%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 22 tracked days the odds held near 2%, ending at 0.5% on September 6, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship” for 22 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Las Vegas Raiders leads at 0.5%. The chance for the leading outcome has fallen from 2% to 0.5% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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