Final tracked odds
As of October 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 32%.
▲ 4 since the previous update. ▲ 20 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Politics · tracked since August 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 31, 2026
32%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Аndrey Gyurov | 28% | 32% | ▲ 4 |
Full history table
| Date | Аndrey Gyurov |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | 32% |
| 2026-10-30 | 28% |
| 2026-10-29 | 25% |
| 2026-10-28 | 27% |
| 2026-10-27 | 28% |
| 2026-10-25 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | — |
| 2026-10-22 | — |
| 2026-10-21 | — |
| 2026-10-20 | — |
| 2026-10-19 | — |
| 2026-10-18 | — |
| 2026-10-17 | 12% |
| 2026-10-16 | — |
| 2026-10-13 | — |
| 2026-10-12 | — |
| 2026-10-11 | 12% |
| 2026-10-10 | 12% |
| 2026-10-09 | 10% |
| 2026-10-08 | 12% |
| 2026-10-07 | 12% |
| 2026-10-06 | 8% |
| 2026-10-05 | — |
| 2026-10-04 | — |
| 2026-10-03 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | — |
| 2026-09-29 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | — |
| 2026-09-25 | 26% |
| 2026-09-23 | 28% |
| 2026-09-13 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | — |
| 2026-09-03 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | — |
| 2026-08-06 | — |
| 2026-08-05 | — |
| 2026-08-04 | — |
| 2026-08-03 | — |
| 2026-08-02 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will win the next Bulgarian presidential election — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 32%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will win the next Bulgarian presidential election — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 14 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 28% on September 23, 2026 to 32% on October 31, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
- Who will win the next Bulgarian presidential election — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 14 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 32%. The final reading of 32% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the next Bulgarian presidential election” for 14 days, since August 1, 2026. As of October 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 32%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 28% to 32%, ranging between 8% and 32% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 31, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.