Final tracked odds
As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 30%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 14, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 31, 2026
30%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | 30% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 30% |
| 2026-08-30 | 30% |
| 2026-08-29 | 32% |
| 2026-08-28 | 34% |
| 2026-08-27 | 32% |
| 2026-08-26 | 33% |
| 2026-08-25 | 30% |
| 2026-08-24 | 24% |
| 2026-08-23 | 24% |
| 2026-08-22 | 25% |
| 2026-07-19 | 18% |
| 2026-07-18 | 19% |
| 2026-07-17 | 19% |
| 2026-07-14 | 16% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 30%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 14 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 16% on July 14, 2026 to 30% on August 31, 2026 — a change of 14 points.
- Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 14 tracked days the odds ranged between 16% and 34%. The final reading of 30% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026” for 14 days, since July 14, 2026. As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 30%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 16% to 30%, ranging between 16% and 34% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 31, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.