Final tracked odds
As of September 22, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 6%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Everything Else · tracked since July 20, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 22, 2026
6%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 21 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 6% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | 6% |
| 2026-09-21 | 6% |
| 2026-09-20 | 6% |
| 2026-09-19 | 6% |
| 2026-09-18 | 6% |
| 2026-09-17 | 6% |
| 2026-09-16 | 6% |
| 2026-09-15 | 6% |
| 2026-09-14 | 6% |
| 2026-09-11 | 7% |
| 2026-09-10 | 6% |
| 2026-09-09 | 6% |
| 2026-09-03 | 6% |
| 2026-09-02 | 6% |
| 2026-09-01 | 6% |
| 2026-07-31 | 4% |
| 2026-07-30 | 4% |
| 2026-07-29 | 4% |
| 2026-07-28 | 4% |
| 2026-07-27 | 4% |
| 2026-07-24 | 4% |
| 2026-07-23 | 5% |
| 2026-07-22 | 5% |
| 2026-07-21 | 5% |
| 2026-07-20 | 5% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 22, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 6%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31 — how much did the odds move?
- Barely. Across 25 tracked days the odds held near 5%, ending at 6% on September 22, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31” for 25 days, since July 20, 2026. As of September 22, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 5%, ranging between 4% and 7% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 22, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.