The Morning Line

Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since October 13, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 15, 2026

6%

Final tracked odds

As of October 15, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 6%.

▼ 3 since the previous update. ▼ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 6% on October 15, 2026. Before Oct 24, 2026 won.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Before Oct 24, 2026 — Oct 13: 8%Before Oct 24, 2026 — Oct 14: 8%Before Oct 24, 2026 — Oct 15: 6%6%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 14TodayMove
Before Oct 24, 20268%6%▼ 3
Full history table
DateBefore Oct 24, 2026
2026-10-156%
2026-10-148%
2026-10-138%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026 — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, October 15, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 6%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
Down. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on October 13, 2026 to 6% on October 15, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026” for 3 days, since October 13, 2026. As of October 15, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 8% to 6%, ranging between 6% and 8% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 15, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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