The Morning Line

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Culture · tracked since July 12, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 11, 2026

1.0%

Final tracked odds

As of August 11, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 1.0%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 0 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 12Aug 1Aug 4Aug 8Aug 11Yes — Jul 12: 0.2%Yes — Jul 20: 0.3%Yes — Jul 21: 0.4%Yes — Aug 1: 0.4%Yes — Aug 2: 0.4%Yes — Aug 3: 0.2%Yes — Aug 4: 0.5%Yes — Aug 5: 0.5%Yes — Aug 6: 1.1%Yes — Aug 7: 1.1%Yes — Aug 8: 1.1%Yes — Aug 9: 1.1%Yes — Aug 10: 1.0%Yes — Aug 11: 1.0%1.0%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 10TodayMove
Yes1.0%1.0%
Full history table
DateYes
2026-08-111.0%
2026-08-101.0%
2026-08-091.1%
2026-08-081.1%
2026-08-071.1%
2026-08-061.1%
2026-08-050.5%
2026-08-040.5%
2026-08-030.2%
2026-08-020.4%
2026-08-010.4%
2026-07-210.4%
2026-07-200.3%
2026-07-120.2%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, August 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 1.0%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition — how much did the odds move?
Barely. Across 14 tracked days the odds held near 0.2%, ending at 1.0% on August 11, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition” for 14 days, since July 12, 2026. As of August 11, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.0%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 0.2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 11, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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