Today’s odds
As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 8%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 20, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET
8%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 5 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | 8% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 8% |
| 2026-09-05 | 8% |
| 2026-09-04 | 10% |
| 2026-09-03 | 8% |
| 2026-09-02 | 10% |
| 2026-09-01 | 13% |
| 2026-08-31 | 14% |
| 2026-08-30 | 14% |
| 2026-08-29 | 14% |
| 2026-08-28 | 16% |
| 2026-08-27 | 15% |
| 2026-08-26 | 16% |
| 2026-08-25 | 16% |
| 2026-08-24 | 16% |
| 2026-08-23 | 18% |
| 2026-08-22 | 16% |
| 2026-08-21 | 18% |
| 2026-08-20 | 20% |
| 2026-08-19 | 20% |
| 2026-08-18 | 22% |
| 2026-08-17 | 20% |
| 2026-08-16 | 20% |
| 2026-08-15 | 19% |
| 2026-08-14 | 16% |
| 2026-08-13 | 16% |
| 2026-08-12 | 14% |
| 2026-08-11 | 14% |
| 2026-08-10 | 14% |
| 2026-08-09 | 15% |
| 2026-08-08 | 14% |
| 2026-08-07 | 14% |
| 2026-08-06 | 16% |
| 2026-08-05 | 18% |
| 2026-08-04 | 18% |
| 2026-08-03 | 18% |
| 2026-08-02 | 18% |
| 2026-08-01 | 18% |
| 2026-07-31 | 18% |
| 2026-07-30 | 18% |
| 2026-07-28 | 18% |
| 2026-07-27 | 18% |
| 2026-07-25 | 18% |
| 2026-07-24 | 18% |
| 2026-07-23 | 18% |
| 2026-07-22 | 18% |
| 2026-07-21 | 18% |
| 2026-07-20 | 18% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 8%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Down. Over the 47 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 18% on July 20, 2026 to 8% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 10 points.
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 47 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 22%. The current reading of 8% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026” for 47 days, since July 20, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 8%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 18% to 8%, ranging between 8% and 22% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.