Final tracked odds
As of August 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 28%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 6 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
Everything Else · tracked since July 20, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 19, 2026
28%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 16 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | 28% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | 28% |
| 2026-08-16 | 30% |
| 2026-08-15 | 34% |
| 2026-08-14 | 38% |
| 2026-08-13 | 40% |
| 2026-08-12 | 34% |
| 2026-08-11 | 36% |
| 2026-08-10 | 42% |
| 2026-08-09 | 37% |
| 2026-08-08 | 36% |
| 2026-08-07 | 32% |
| 2026-07-29 | 16% |
| 2026-07-28 | 21% |
| 2026-07-27 | 21% |
| 2026-07-26 | 12% |
| 2026-07-25 | 14% |
| 2026-07-24 | 14% |
| 2026-07-23 | 14% |
| 2026-07-22 | 18% |
| 2026-07-21 | 18% |
| 2026-07-20 | 18% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 19, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 28%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 21 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 18% on July 20, 2026 to 28% on August 19, 2026 — a change of 10 points.
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 21 tracked days the odds ranged between 12% and 42%. The final reading of 28% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will STRC hit $100 by September 30” for 21 days, since July 20, 2026. As of August 19, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 28%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 18% to 28%, ranging between 12% and 42% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 19, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.