Final tracked odds
As of October 26, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 14%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 12% and 14%?
Politics · tracked since October 24, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 26, 2026
14%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 25 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Cooper, 12-14% | 14% | 14% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Roy Cooper, 12-14% |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | 14% |
| 2026-10-25 | 14% |
| 2026-10-24 | 13% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 12% and 14% — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 26, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 14%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 12% and 14%” for 3 days, since October 24, 2026. As of October 26, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 14%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 13% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 26, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.