Final tracked odds
As of August 13, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.6%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?
Everything Else · tracked since August 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 13, 2026
0.6%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 12 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.8% | 0.6% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | 0.6% |
| 2026-08-12 | 0.8% |
| 2026-08-11 | 0.8% |
| 2026-08-10 | 0.6% |
| 2026-08-09 | 0.7% |
| 2026-08-08 | 0.8% |
| 2026-08-07 | 0.7% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 13, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.6%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August — how much did the odds move?
- Barely. Across 7 tracked days the odds held near 0.7%, ending at 0.6% on August 13, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August” for 7 days, since August 7, 2026. As of August 13, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 0.7% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 13, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.