Final tracked odds
As of October 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.1%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Everything Else · tracked since September 2, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 31, 2026
0.1%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | 0.1% |
| 2026-10-30 | 0.1% |
| 2026-10-28 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-27 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-26 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-25 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-24 | 0.7% |
| 2026-10-23 | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-13 | 1.1% |
| 2026-10-11 | 0.7% |
| 2026-10-08 | 2% |
| 2026-10-07 | 2% |
| 2026-10-06 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-05 | 2% |
| 2026-10-04 | 2% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.2% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 2% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.1% |
| 2026-09-29 | 3% |
| 2026-09-06 | 25% |
| 2026-09-05 | 29% |
| 2026-09-04 | 24% |
| 2026-09-03 | 34% |
| 2026-09-02 | 27% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 25 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 27% on September 2, 2026 to 0.1% on October 31, 2026 — a change of 27 points.
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 25 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.1% and 34%. The final reading of 0.1% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31” for 25 days, since September 2, 2026. As of October 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 27% to 0.1%, ranging between 0.1% and 34% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 31, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.