Final tracked odds
As of October 23, 2026, market-consensus odds make Above 2.6% the most likely outcome at 55%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Mexico unemployment rate in October 2026?
Economy · tracked since October 22, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 23, 2026
55%
How the odds have moved
Above 2.6%Above 2.7%Above 2.8%Above 2.9%Above 3.2%
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 22 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.6% | 53% | 55% | ▲ 2 |
| Above 2.7% | 55% | 52% | ▼ 3 |
| Above 2.8% | 50% | 46% | ▼ 3 |
| Above 2.9% | 29% | 35% | ▲ 6 |
| Above 3.2% | 6% | 6% | — |
| Above 3.1% | 8% | 6% | ▼ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Above 2.6% | Above 2.7% | Above 2.8% | Above 2.9% | Above 3.2% | Above 3.1% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | 55% | 52% | 46% | 35% | 6% | 6% |
| 2026-10-22 | 53% | 55% | 50% | 29% | 6% | 8% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Mexico unemployment rate in October 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 23, 2026, Above 2.6% led at 55%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Mexico unemployment rate in October 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 53% on October 22, 2026 to 55% on October 23, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Mexico unemployment rate in October 2026” for 2 days, since October 22, 2026. As of October 23, 2026, Above 2.6% leads the field at 55%. The final tracked chance for Above 2.6% has risen from 53% to 55%, ranging between 53% and 55% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 23, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.