The Morning Line

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

2%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 2%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 17Jul 29Aug 27Sep 6Yes — Jul 7: 4%Yes — Sep 6: 2%2%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
Yes2%2%
Full history table
DateYes
2026-09-062%
2026-09-052%
2026-09-043%
2026-09-034%
2026-09-024%
2026-09-014%
2026-08-314%
2026-08-303%
2026-08-293%
2026-08-283%
2026-08-273%
2026-08-263%
2026-08-253%
2026-08-243%
2026-08-234%
2026-08-224%
2026-08-214%
2026-08-204%
2026-08-124%
2026-07-314%
2026-07-304%
2026-07-294%
2026-07-286%
2026-07-276%
2026-07-266%
2026-07-256%
2026-07-244%
2026-07-234%
2026-07-224%
2026-07-196%
2026-07-186%
2026-07-176%
2026-07-166%
2026-07-156%
2026-07-144%
2026-07-134%
2026-07-126%
2026-07-116%
2026-07-106%
2026-07-095%
2026-07-084%
2026-07-074%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31 — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31 — have the odds gone up or down?
Down. Over the 42 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 4% on July 7, 2026 to 2% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31” for 42 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 2%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 4% to 2%, ranging between 2% and 6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

More questions we track