Today’s odds
As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 88%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 12 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET
88%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 5 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 87% | 88% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 88% |
| 2026-09-05 | 87% |
| 2026-09-04 | 87% |
| 2026-09-03 | 86% |
| 2026-09-02 | 84% |
| 2026-09-01 | 76% |
| 2026-08-31 | 76% |
| 2026-08-30 | 76% |
| 2026-08-29 | 76% |
| 2026-08-28 | 76% |
| 2026-08-27 | 76% |
| 2026-08-26 | 76% |
| 2026-08-25 | 76% |
| 2026-08-24 | 76% |
| 2026-08-23 | 76% |
| 2026-08-22 | 76% |
| 2026-08-21 | 76% |
| 2026-08-20 | 76% |
| 2026-08-19 | 76% |
| 2026-08-18 | 76% |
| 2026-08-17 | 76% |
| 2026-08-16 | 76% |
| 2026-08-15 | 76% |
| 2026-08-14 | 75% |
| 2026-08-13 | 76% |
| 2026-08-12 | 72% |
| 2026-08-11 | 72% |
| 2026-08-10 | 72% |
| 2026-08-09 | 72% |
| 2026-08-08 | 72% |
| 2026-08-07 | 72% |
| 2026-08-06 | 72% |
| 2026-08-05 | 72% |
| 2026-08-04 | 72% |
| 2026-08-03 | 72% |
| 2026-08-02 | 72% |
| 2026-07-31 | 72% |
| 2026-07-30 | 72% |
| 2026-07-29 | 72% |
| 2026-07-28 | 72% |
| 2026-07-27 | 74% |
| 2026-07-26 | 74% |
| 2026-07-25 | 74% |
| 2026-07-24 | 74% |
| 2026-07-23 | 74% |
| 2026-07-22 | 74% |
| 2026-07-21 | 73% |
| 2026-07-20 | 72% |
| 2026-07-19 | 72% |
| 2026-07-18 | 72% |
| 2026-07-17 | 72% |
| 2026-07-16 | 72% |
| 2026-07-15 | 72% |
| 2026-07-14 | 72% |
| 2026-07-13 | 72% |
| 2026-07-12 | 72% |
| 2026-07-11 | 72% |
| 2026-07-10 | 72% |
| 2026-07-09 | 72% |
| 2026-07-08 | 72% |
| 2026-07-07 | 73% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T — what are the odds?
- As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 88%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 61 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 73% on July 7, 2026 to 88% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 15 points.
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 61 tracked days the odds ranged between 72% and 88%. The current reading of 88% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T” for 61 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 88%. The chance for a yes has risen from 73% to 88%, ranging between 72% and 88% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.