Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31 — what are the odds?

As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 95%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31 — how much have the odds move?

Barely. Across 45 tracked days the odds held near 96%, ending at 95% on September 6, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31 — what are the highest and lowest odds?

Over 45 tracked days the odds ranged between 86% and 97%. The current reading of 95% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31” for 45 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 95%. The chance for a yes has held near 96%, ranging between 86% and 97% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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