Where will Vinicius Junior go next — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, August 6, 2026, Real Madrid led at 80%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Where will Vinicius Junior go next — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 64% on July 26, 2026 to 80% on August 6, 2026 — a change of 16 points.

Where will Vinicius Junior go next — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 12 tracked days the odds ranged between 53% and 80%. The final reading of 80% sits at the top of that range.

Where will Vinicius Junior go next?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Where will Vinicius Junior go next?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since July 26, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 6, 2026

80%

Final tracked odds

As of August 6, 2026, market-consensus odds make Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 80%.

▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 21 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 80% on August 6, 2026. Real Madrid won.

How the odds have moved

Real MadridArsenal

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 5	Today	Move
Real Madrid	80%	80%	▲ 1
Arsenal	20%	13%	▼ 7

Full history table

Date	Real Madrid	Arsenal
2026-08-06	80%	13%
2026-08-05	80%	20%
2026-08-04	64%	36%
2026-08-03	66%	32%
2026-08-02	53%	48%
2026-08-01	57%	38%
2026-07-31	54%	44%
2026-07-30	60%	32%
2026-07-29	76%	22%
2026-07-28	78%	22%
2026-07-27	76%	24%
2026-07-26	64%	46%
2026-07-25 *	0%	0%

* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Where will Vinicius Junior go next — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 6, 2026, Real Madrid led at 80%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Where will Vinicius Junior go next — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 64% on July 26, 2026 to 80% on August 6, 2026 — a change of 16 points.
Where will Vinicius Junior go next — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 12 tracked days the odds ranged between 53% and 80%. The final reading of 80% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Where will Vinicius Junior go next” for 12 days, since July 26, 2026. As of August 6, 2026, Real Madrid leads the field at 80%. The final tracked chance for Real Madrid has risen from 64% to 80%, ranging between 53% and 80% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 6, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.