Final tracked odds
As of October 29, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 34%.
▼ 4 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Politics · tracked since September 18, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 29, 2026
34%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 28 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dejan Šoškić | 38% | 34% | ▼ 4 |
Full history table
| Date | Dejan Šoškić |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 34% |
| 2026-10-28 | 38% |
| 2026-10-26 | — |
| 2026-10-20 | — |
| 2026-10-19 | — |
| 2026-10-18 | — |
| 2026-10-17 | — |
| 2026-10-16 | — |
| 2026-10-15 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | — |
| 2026-10-13 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Serbia — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 29, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 34%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Serbia — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 38% on October 28, 2026 to 34% on October 29, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Serbia” for 2 days, since September 18, 2026. As of October 29, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 34%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 38% to 34%, ranging between 34% and 38% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 29, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.