The Morning Line

Who will be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

UFC · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on November 3, 2026

0.1%

Final tracked odds

As of November 3, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Israel Adesanya leads at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Israel AdesanyaRobert WhittakerJared CannonierAnthony Hernandez
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 30Aug 30Sep 20Nov 3Israel Adesanya — Jul 7: 0.3%Israel Adesanya — Nov 3: 0.1%0.1%Robert Whittaker — Jul 7: 0.1%Robert Whittaker — Nov 3: 0.1%Jared Cannonier — Jul 7: 0.4%Jared Cannonier — Nov 3: 0.1%Anthony Hernandez — Jul 9: 0.5%Anthony Hernandez — Nov 3: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeNov 2TodayMove
Israel Adesanya0.1%0.1%—
Robert Whittaker—0.1%—
Jared Cannonier—0.1%—
Anthony Hernandez—0.1%—
Full history table
DateIsrael AdesanyaRobert WhittakerJared CannonierAnthony Hernandez
2026-11-030.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-11-020.1%———
2026-11-01———0.1%
2026-10-310.1%———
2026-10-300.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-290.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-280.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-27—0.1%0.1%—
2026-10-260.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-250.1%——0.1%
2026-10-240.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-230.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-220.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-21—0.1%0.1%—
2026-10-17—0.1%0.1%—
2026-10-07————
2026-10-06————
2026-09-270.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-260.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-250.1%———
2026-09-240.1%———
2026-09-200.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-190.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-180.1%———
2026-09-170.1%———
2026-09-160.1%———
2026-09-150.1%———
2026-09-140.1%———
2026-09-130.1%—0.1%—
2026-09-120.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-110.1%———
2026-09-100.1%———
2026-09-090.1%———
2026-09-080.1%———
2026-09-070.1%———
2026-09-060.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-050.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-040.1%0.1%0.1%—
2026-09-030.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-020.1%———
2026-09-010.1%———
2026-08-31————
2026-08-30————
2026-08-29————
2026-08-28———0.1%
2026-08-27————
2026-08-260.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-25—0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-240.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-23—0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-220.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-210.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-200.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-190.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-180.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-170.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-160.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-150.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-08-140.1%0.1%0.1%—
2026-08-130.1%———
2026-08-120.1%———
2026-08-110.1%———
2026-07-310.1%0.1%0.1%—
2026-07-300.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-290.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-07-280.1%0.1%0.1%—
2026-07-270.1%———
2026-07-260.1%0.1%0.5%0.2%
2026-07-250.1%0.1%0.5%0.2%
2026-07-240.1%———
2026-07-230.1%———
2026-07-220.1%———
2026-07-19—0.1%—0.7%
2026-07-18———0.7%
2026-07-17—0.1%0.6%0.7%
2026-07-160.3%0.1%0.9%0.8%
2026-07-150.4%———
2026-07-140.3%0.1%0.8%0.8%
2026-07-130.3%———
2026-07-120.4%———
2026-07-110.4%0.1%0.4%0.4%
2026-07-100.5%0.1%0.4%0.5%
2026-07-090.5%0.1%0.4%0.5%
2026-07-080.5%———
2026-07-070.3%0.1%0.4%—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, November 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — how much did the odds move?
Barely. Across 69 tracked days the odds held near 0.3%, ending at 0.1% on November 3, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026” for 69 days, since July 7, 2026. As of November 3, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Israel Adesanya leads at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for the leading outcome has held near 0.3% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on November 3, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

Related questions

The Morning Line reports market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. The numbers are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.