The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?

NBA · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 3:00 PM ET

0.2%

Today’s odds

As of November 4, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Labaron Philon Jr. leads at 0.2%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Labaron Philon Jr.Kingston FlemingsJayden Quaintance
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 31Aug 22Sep 13Oct 11Nov 4Labaron Philon Jr. — Aug 15: 0.3%Labaron Philon Jr. — Nov 4: 0.2%0.2%Kingston Flemings — Jul 31: 0.5%Kingston Flemings — Nov 4: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Aug 3: 0.1%Jayden Quaintance — Nov 4: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeNov 3TodayMove
Labaron Philon Jr.0.2%0.2%—
Kingston Flemings—0.1%—
Jayden Quaintance—0.1%—
Full history table
DateLabaron Philon Jr.Kingston FlemingsJayden Quaintance
2026-11-040.2%0.1%0.1%
2026-11-030.2%——
2026-11-02—0.1%—
2026-11-01———
2026-10-31—0.1%—
2026-10-30—0.2%0.1%
2026-10-29—0.5%0.1%
2026-10-28—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-27—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-260.7%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-250.5%0.1%—
2026-10-241.2%0.2%—
2026-10-231.1%0.3%0.1%
2026-10-22—0.4%0.1%
2026-10-21—0.4%0.1%
2026-10-20—0.4%0.1%
2026-10-19—0.4%0.1%
2026-10-18—0.4%0.1%
2026-10-17—0.4%0.1%
2026-10-16—0.2%0.1%
2026-10-15—0.2%—
2026-10-14—0.2%—
2026-10-11—0.2%—
2026-10-05—0.3%—
2026-10-04—0.3%0.1%
2026-10-03—0.3%—
2026-10-02—0.4%—
2026-10-01—0.4%—
2026-09-302%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-292%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-282%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-272%——
2026-09-262%0.4%—
2026-09-252%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-242%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-230.2%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-220.2%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-210.2%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-200.2%——
2026-09-190.2%0.4%—
2026-09-180.2%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-170.4%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-160.4%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-150.5%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-140.5%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-130.5%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-120.5%0.4%—
2026-09-110.5%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-100.6%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-090.6%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-080.6%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-072%0.4%0.1%
2026-09-062%0.5%0.1%
2026-09-052%0.5%—
2026-09-042%0.5%0.1%
2026-09-032%0.5%0.1%
2026-09-022%0.5%0.1%
2026-09-012%0.5%0.1%
2026-08-31———
2026-08-302%——
2026-08-292%——
2026-08-282%——
2026-08-272%——
2026-08-262%——
2026-08-252%——
2026-08-240.2%——
2026-08-230.2%——
2026-08-220.2%——
2026-08-210.2%——
2026-08-200.2%——
2026-08-190.2%0.6%—
2026-08-180.2%0.6%—
2026-08-170.3%0.7%—
2026-08-16—0.7%—
2026-08-150.3%0.8%—
2026-08-14—0.7%—
2026-08-13—0.7%0.1%
2026-08-12—0.7%0.1%
2026-08-11—2%0.1%
2026-08-10—2%0.1%
2026-08-09—2%0.1%
2026-08-08—0.4%0.1%
2026-08-07—0.5%0.1%
2026-08-06—1.2%—
2026-08-05—2%—
2026-08-04—1.5%—
2026-08-03—0.5%0.1%
2026-08-02—0.5%—
2026-08-01—0.5%—
2026-07-31—0.5%—
2026-07-300.5%0.6%—
2026-07-290.5%1.2%—
2026-07-280.6%1.4%—
2026-07-27—0.9%0.1%
2026-07-260.5%0.9%—
2026-07-250.5%0.9%—
2026-07-242%0.9%0.1%
2026-07-230.3%0.9%0.1%
2026-07-220.3%1.0%0.1%
2026-07-21—0.8%0.1%
2026-07-20—0.4%0.1%
2026-07-190.3%——
2026-07-180.3%——
2026-07-170.3%——
2026-07-160.3%0.4%0.1%
2026-07-150.3%0.4%0.1%
2026-07-140.4%——
2026-07-13—0.7%—
2026-07-12—0.7%—
2026-07-11—0.2%—
2026-07-10—0.2%—
2026-07-09—0.7%—
2026-07-08—0.4%—
2026-07-07—0.1%—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year — what are the odds?
As of November 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 65 tracked days the odds held near 0.4%, ending at 0.2% on November 4, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year” for 65 days, since July 7, 2026. As of November 4, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Labaron Philon Jr. leads at 0.2%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 0.4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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