Today’s odds
As of September 6, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; San Diego Padres leads at 4%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET
4%
How the odds have moved
San Diego PadresPittsburgh PiratesNew York MetsCincinnati Reds
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 5 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 4% | 4% | — |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.4% | 0.4% | — |
| New York Mets | — | 0.1% | — |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
Full history table
| Date | San Diego Padres | Pittsburgh Pirates | New York Mets | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-05 | 4% | 0.4% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-04 | 4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-03 | 4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-02 | 4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-01 | 5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-31 | 4% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | 5% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-29 | 6% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-28 | 4% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-27 | 5% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-26 | 5% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-25 | 6% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | 5% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-23 | 4% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | 4% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 | 5% | 0.5% | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | 5% | 0.5% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-19 | 5% | 0.5% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-18 | 4% | 0.5% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-17 | 4% | 0.8% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-16 | 5% | 1.1% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-15 | 4% | 1.1% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-14 | 3% | 1.1% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-13 | 3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-12 | 2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-11 | 2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-10 | 2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-09 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-08 | 2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-07 | 2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-06 | 2% | 1.3% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-05 | 2% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-04 | 2% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-03 | 0.9% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-02 | 1.1% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-01 | 2% | — | 0.2% | — |
| 2026-07-31 | 2% | 2% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-30 | 1.5% | 2% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-29 | 0.9% | 2% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-28 | 0.9% | 2% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-27 | 0.8% | 2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-26 | 1.0% | 2% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-25 | 0.9% | 2% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-24 | 0.9% | 2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-23 | 0.9% | 2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-22 | 1.0% | 2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-21 | 1.0% | 2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-20 | 1.0% | — | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-19 | — | 3% | — | — |
| 2026-07-18 | — | 3% | — | — |
| 2026-07-17 | 1.0% | 3% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-16 | 0.9% | 3% | — | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-15 | 1.1% | 3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 2026-07-14 | 2% | 3% | — | 0.2% |
| 2026-07-13 | 2% | 3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 2026-07-12 | 2% | 3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 2026-07-11 | 2% | 3% | — | 0.2% |
| 2026-07-10 | 2% | 3% | — | 0.2% |
| 2026-07-09 | 2% | 3% | — | 0.2% |
| 2026-07-08 | 1.2% | 3% | — | 0.2% |
| 2026-07-07 | 2% | 3% | — | 0.2% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will win the 2026 National League Championship Series — what are the odds?
- As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will win the 2026 National League Championship Series — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 60 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 2% on July 7, 2026 to 4% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
- Who will win the 2026 National League Championship Series — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 60 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.8% and 6%. The current reading of 4% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 National League Championship Series” for 60 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — San Diego Padres leads at 4%. The chance for the leading outcome has risen from 2% to 4%, ranging between 0.8% and 6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.