The Morning Line

Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals?

NBA · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

11%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds make Philadelphia 76ers the most likely outcome at 11%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Philadelphia 76ersGolden State WarriorsNew Orleans Pelicans
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 22Aug 6Aug 22Sep 6Philadelphia 76ers — Jul 15: 7%Philadelphia 76ers — Sep 6: 11%11%Golden State Warriors — Jul 15: 3%Golden State Warriors — Sep 6: 1.1%New Orleans Pelicans — Jul 7: 0.4%New Orleans Pelicans — Sep 6: 0.2%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
Philadelphia 76ers11%11%
Golden State Warriors1.1%1.1%
New Orleans Pelicans0.2%0.2%
Full history table
DatePhiladelphia 76ersGolden State WarriorsNew Orleans Pelicans
2026-09-0611%1.1%0.2%
2026-09-0511%1.1%0.2%
2026-09-0411%1.1%0.2%
2026-09-0313%1.1%0.2%
2026-09-0213%1.1%0.1%
2026-09-0113%1.1%
2026-08-3113%1.1%
2026-08-3013%1.1%
2026-08-2913%1.1%
2026-08-2813%1.1%
2026-08-2713%1.1%
2026-08-2613%1.1%
2026-08-2513%1.1%
2026-08-2413%1.1%
2026-08-2313%1.1%
2026-08-2213%1.2%
2026-08-2113%1.2%
2026-08-2013%1.2%
2026-08-1913%1.2%
2026-08-1813%1.1%
2026-08-1713%1.2%
2026-08-1613%1.1%
2026-08-1513%1.1%
2026-08-1413%1.1%
2026-08-1313%1.1%
2026-08-1213%1.1%
2026-08-1113%1.1%
2026-08-1013%1.1%
2026-08-0913%1.1%
2026-08-0813%1.1%
2026-08-0713%1.1%
2026-08-0613%1.1%
2026-08-0513%1.1%
2026-08-0414%1.1%
2026-08-0313%1.1%
2026-08-0214%1.1%
2026-08-0114%1.1%
2026-07-3114%
2026-07-30
2026-07-290.1%
2026-07-280.1%
2026-07-270.1%
2026-07-26
2026-07-25
2026-07-24
2026-07-23
2026-07-22
2026-07-21
2026-07-20
2026-07-19
2026-07-187%
2026-07-177%
2026-07-167%3%
2026-07-157%3%
2026-07-14
2026-07-13
2026-07-12
2026-07-11
2026-07-10
2026-07-090.4%
2026-07-080.4%
2026-07-070.4%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, Philadelphia 76ers leads at 11%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals — have the odds gone up or down?
Up. Over the 42 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 7% on July 15, 2026 to 11% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 42 tracked days the odds ranged between 7% and 14%. The current reading of 11% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2027 NBA Finals” for 42 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, Philadelphia 76ers leads the field at 11%. The chance for Philadelphia 76ers has risen from 7% to 11%, ranging between 7% and 14% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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