Final tracked odds
As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 30%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 6 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · tracked since July 20, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on November 3, 2026
30%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Nov 2 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| an independent | 28% | 30% | ▲ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | an independent |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | 30% |
| 2026-11-02 | 28% |
| 2026-10-25 | 24% |
| 2026-10-24 | 26% |
| 2026-10-22 | 28% |
| 2026-10-21 | 30% |
| 2026-10-14 | — |
| 2026-10-13 | — |
| 2026-10-12 | — |
| 2026-10-10 | — |
| 2026-10-09 | — |
| 2026-10-08 | — |
| 2026-10-07 | — |
| 2026-10-06 | — |
| 2026-10-05 | — |
| 2026-10-04 | 28% |
| 2026-10-03 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | 32% |
| 2026-09-19 | 32% |
| 2026-09-15 | 32% |
| 2026-08-30 | — |
| 2026-07-23 | — |
| 2026-07-22 | — |
| 2026-07-21 | — |
| 2026-07-20 | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, November 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 30%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 10 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 32% on September 15, 2026 to 30% on November 3, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
- Who will win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 10 tracked days the odds ranged between 24% and 32%. The final reading of 30% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026” for 10 days, since July 20, 2026. As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 30%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 32% to 30%, ranging between 24% and 32% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on November 3, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.