The Morning Line

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since August 27, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

57%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 57%.

▲ 3 since the previous update. ▼ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 27Aug 29Sep 1Sep 4Sep 6Yes — Aug 27: 59%Yes — Aug 28: 60%Yes — Aug 29: 59%Yes — Aug 30: 60%Yes — Aug 31: 59%Yes — Sep 1: 60%Yes — Sep 2: 59%Yes — Sep 3: 59%Yes — Sep 4: 52%Yes — Sep 5: 54%Yes — Sep 6: 57%57%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
Yes54%57%▲ 3
Full history table
DateYes
2026-09-0657%
2026-09-0554%
2026-09-0452%
2026-09-0359%
2026-09-0259%
2026-09-0160%
2026-08-3159%
2026-08-3060%
2026-08-2959%
2026-08-2860%
2026-08-2759%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026 — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 57%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
Down. Over the 11 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 59% on August 27, 2026 to 57% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 11 tracked days the odds ranged between 52% and 60%. The current reading of 57% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026” for 11 days, since August 27, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 57%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 59% to 57%, ranging between 52% and 60% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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