Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, October 13, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 52%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 9 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 58% on September 28, 2026 to 52% on October 13, 2026 — a change of 6 points.

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 9 tracked days the odds ranged between 52% and 71%. The final reading of 52% sits at the bottom of that range.

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since September 28, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 13, 2026

52%

Final tracked odds

As of October 13, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 52%.

▼ 5 since the previous update. ▼ 14 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Oct 12	Today	Move
Yes	56%	52%	▼ 5

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-10-13	52%
2026-10-12	56%
2026-10-11	60%
2026-10-10	60%
2026-10-09	68%
2026-10-08	68%
2026-10-07	71%
2026-10-06	66%
2026-09-28	58%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, October 13, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 52%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 9 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 58% on September 28, 2026 to 52% on October 13, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 9 tracked days the odds ranged between 52% and 71%. The final reading of 52% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026” for 9 days, since September 28, 2026. As of October 13, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 52%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 58% to 52%, ranging between 52% and 71% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 13, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.