Final tracked odds
As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 91%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since October 24, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on November 3, 2026
91%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90% | 91% | ▲ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | 91% |
| 2026-10-30 | 90% |
| 2026-10-29 | 92% |
| 2026-10-28 | 92% |
| 2026-10-27 | 92% |
| 2026-10-26 | 94% |
| 2026-10-24 | 74% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, November 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 91%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 74% on October 24, 2026 to 91% on November 3, 2026 — a change of 17 points.
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 74% and 94%. The final reading of 91% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026” for 7 days, since October 24, 2026. As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 91%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 74% to 91%, ranging between 74% and 94% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on November 3, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.