The Morning Line

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

26%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 26%.

▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 13Aug 26Sep 1Sep 6Yes — Jul 7: 8%Yes — Jul 8: 8%Yes — Jul 9: 8%Yes — Jul 10: 12%Yes — Jul 11: 12%Yes — Jul 13: 11%Yes — Aug 22: 32%Yes — Aug 23: 30%Yes — Aug 24: 28%Yes — Aug 25: 28%Yes — Aug 26: 28%Yes — Aug 27: 29%Yes — Aug 28: 28%Yes — Aug 29: 28%Yes — Aug 30: 28%Yes — Aug 31: 30%Yes — Sep 1: 26%Yes — Sep 2: 26%Yes — Sep 3: 28%Yes — Sep 4: 24%Yes — Sep 5: 26%Yes — Sep 6: 26%26%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
Yes26%26%▼ 1
Full history table
DateYes
2026-09-0626%
2026-09-0526%
2026-09-0424%
2026-09-0328%
2026-09-0226%
2026-09-0126%
2026-08-3130%
2026-08-3028%
2026-08-2928%
2026-08-2828%
2026-08-2729%
2026-08-2628%
2026-08-2528%
2026-08-2428%
2026-08-2330%
2026-08-2232%
2026-07-1311%
2026-07-1112%
2026-07-1012%
2026-07-098%
2026-07-088%
2026-07-078%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31 — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 26%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31 — have the odds gone up or down?
Up. Over the 22 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on July 7, 2026 to 26% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 18 points.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 22 tracked days the odds ranged between 8% and 32%. The current reading of 26% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31” for 22 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 26%. The chance for a yes has risen from 8% to 26%, ranging between 8% and 32% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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