Today’s odds
As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 26%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 8 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET
26%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 4 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26% | 26% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 26% |
| 2026-09-04 | 26% |
| 2026-09-03 | 28% |
| 2026-09-02 | 28% |
| 2026-09-01 | 30% |
| 2026-08-17 | 18% |
| 2026-08-16 | 18% |
| 2026-08-14 | 19% |
| 2026-08-13 | 19% |
| 2026-08-12 | 19% |
| 2026-08-11 | 20% |
| 2026-08-10 | 20% |
| 2026-08-09 | 20% |
| 2026-08-08 | 20% |
| 2026-08-07 | 19% |
| 2026-08-06 | 18% |
| 2026-08-05 | 18% |
| 2026-08-04 | 18% |
| 2026-08-03 | 18% |
| 2026-08-02 | 20% |
| 2026-08-01 | 20% |
| 2026-07-31 | 20% |
| 2026-07-30 | 20% |
| 2026-07-29 | 20% |
| 2026-07-28 | 20% |
| 2026-07-27 | 21% |
| 2026-07-23 | 17% |
| 2026-07-22 | 17% |
| 2026-07-21 | 16% |
| 2026-07-20 | 16% |
| 2026-07-15 | 18% |
| 2026-07-13 | 18% |
| 2026-07-12 | 16% |
| 2026-07-08 | 20% |
| 2026-07-07 | 18% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 26%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 35 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 18% on July 7, 2026 to 26% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 8 points.
- Will Gold have the best performance in 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 35 tracked days the odds ranged between 16% and 30%. The current reading of 26% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Gold have the best performance in 2026” for 35 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 26%. The chance for a yes has risen from 18% to 26%, ranging between 16% and 30% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.