The Morning Line

Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?

Everything Else · tracked since October 4, 2026 · last updated 3:00 PM ET

4%

Today’s odds

As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 4Oct 17Oct 22Oct 27Nov 4Yes — Oct 4: 4%Yes — Oct 12: 2%Yes — Oct 13: 2%Yes — Oct 14: 2%Yes — Oct 15: 2%Yes — Oct 16: 1.3%Yes — Oct 17: 2%Yes — Oct 18: 2%Yes — Oct 19: 2%Yes — Oct 20: 2%Yes — Oct 21: 3%Yes — Oct 22: 3%Yes — Oct 23: 4%Yes — Oct 24: 4%Yes — Oct 25: 5%Yes — Oct 26: 4%Yes — Oct 27: 4%Yes — Oct 28: 4%Yes — Oct 29: 4%Yes — Oct 30: 4%Yes — Oct 31: 4%Yes — Nov 2: 4%Yes — Nov 4: 4%4%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeNov 2TodayMove
Yes4%4%—
Full history table
DateYes
2026-11-044%
2026-11-024%
2026-10-314%
2026-10-304%
2026-10-294%
2026-10-284%
2026-10-274%
2026-10-264%
2026-10-255%
2026-10-244%
2026-10-234%
2026-10-223%
2026-10-213%
2026-10-202%
2026-10-192%
2026-10-182%
2026-10-172%
2026-10-161.3%
2026-10-152%
2026-10-142%
2026-10-132%
2026-10-122%
2026-10-044%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026 — what are the odds?
As of November 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026 — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 23 tracked days the odds held near 4%, ending at 4% on November 4, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026” for 23 days, since October 4, 2026. As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The chance for a yes has held near 4%, ranging between 1.3% and 5% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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