Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, July 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 2% on July 10, 2026 to 0.1% on July 31, 2026 — a change of 2 points.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.1% and 6%. The final reading of 0.1% sits at the bottom of that range.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since July 10, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on July 31, 2026

0.1%

Final tracked odds

As of July 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 6 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Jul 30	Today	Move
Yes	0.1%	0.1%	—

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-07-31	0.1%
2026-07-30	0.1%
2026-07-19	6%
2026-07-18	5%
2026-07-14	3%
2026-07-11	0.9%
2026-07-10	2%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, July 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 2% on July 10, 2026 to 0.1% on July 31, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.1% and 6%. The final reading of 0.1% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July” for 7 days, since July 10, 2026. As of July 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 2% to 0.1%, ranging between 0.1% and 6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on July 31, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.