Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31 — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, August 9, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 18%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31 — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 22% on August 7, 2026 to 18% on August 9, 2026 — a change of 4 points.

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 18% and 24%. The final reading of 18% sits at the bottom of that range.

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Politics · tracked since August 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 9, 2026

18%

Final tracked odds

As of August 9, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 18%.

▼ 6 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 8	Today	Move
Yes	24%	18%	▼ 6

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-08-09	18%
2026-08-08	24%
2026-08-07	22%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 9, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 18%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31 — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 22% on August 7, 2026 to 18% on August 9, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 18% and 24%. The final reading of 18% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31” for 3 days, since August 7, 2026. As of August 9, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 18%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 22% to 18%, ranging between 18% and 24% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 9, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.