Final tracked odds
As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 23%.
▼ 13 since the previous update. ▼ 14 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Everything Else · tracked since August 24, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on November 3, 2026
23%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 31 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36% | 23% | ▼ 13 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | 23% |
| 2026-10-31 | 36% |
| 2026-10-30 | 36% |
| 2026-10-29 | 36% |
| 2026-10-28 | 38% |
| 2026-10-27 | 37% |
| 2026-10-26 | 37% |
| 2026-10-25 | 33% |
| 2026-10-24 | 38% |
| 2026-10-23 | 39% |
| 2026-10-22 | 42% |
| 2026-10-21 | 31% |
| 2026-10-20 | 26% |
| 2026-10-19 | 26% |
| 2026-10-18 | 26% |
| 2026-10-17 | 33% |
| 2026-10-16 | 33% |
| 2026-10-15 | 34% |
| 2026-10-14 | 33% |
| 2026-10-13 | 37% |
| 2026-10-12 | 35% |
| 2026-10-11 | 38% |
| 2026-10-10 | 37% |
| 2026-10-09 | 37% |
| 2026-10-08 | 37% |
| 2026-10-07 | 36% |
| 2026-10-06 | 37% |
| 2026-10-05 | 38% |
| 2026-10-03 | 37% |
| 2026-10-02 | 37% |
| 2026-10-01 | 42% |
| 2026-09-08 | 48% |
| 2026-08-30 | 23% |
| 2026-08-29 | 24% |
| 2026-08-27 | 23% |
| 2026-08-26 | 28% |
| 2026-08-25 | 28% |
| 2026-08-24 | 28% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, November 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 23%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 38 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 28% on August 24, 2026 to 23% on November 3, 2026 — a change of 5 points.
- Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 38 tracked days the odds ranged between 23% and 48%. The final reading of 23% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond” for 38 days, since August 24, 2026. As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 23%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 28% to 23%, ranging between 23% and 48% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on November 3, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.