Today’s odds
As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds make Eugen Tomac the most likely outcome at 19%.
▲ 15 since the previous update. ▼ 10 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politics · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET
19%
How the odds have moved
Eugen TomacIonuț DumitruVictor PontaAnca DraguDominic Fritz
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 5 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eugen Tomac | 5% | 19% | ▲ 15 |
| Ionuț Dumitru | 3% | 2% | ▼ 1 |
| Victor Ponta | 1.0% | 0.5% | ▼ 0 |
| Anca Dragu | 0.4% | 0.2% | — |
| Dominic Fritz | — | 0.2% | — |
| Sebastian Burduja | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| Dacian Cioloș | — | 0.1% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Eugen Tomac | Ionuț Dumitru | Victor Ponta | Anca Dragu | Dominic Fritz | Sebastian Burduja | Dacian Cioloș |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 19% | 2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-05 | 5% | 3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-09-04 | 7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-03 | 12% | 2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-02 | 4% | 0.2% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-01 | 30% | — | — | 0.3% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-26 | — | 0.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | — | 1.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-23 | — | 0.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-22 | — | 0.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-21 | — | 0.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-20 | — | 1.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | — | 1.0% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-18 | — | 1.0% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-17 | — | 1.0% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-16 | — | 1.0% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-15 | — | 2% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-14 | — | 2% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-13 | — | 2% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 2026-08-12 | — | — | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 2026-08-11 | 2% | — | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 2026-08-10 | 1.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 0.3% |
| 2026-08-09 | 1.3% | — | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2026-08-08 | 1.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 0.3% |
| 2026-08-07 | 1.1% | — | — | — | — | — | 0.3% |
| 2026-08-06 | 2% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-05 | 2% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-04 | 1.1% | — | — | — | — | — | 0.4% |
| 2026-08-03 | 2% | — | — | — | — | — | 0.3% |
| 2026-08-02 | 2% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-01 | 2% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-31 | — | 0.4% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-30 | — | 0.4% | — | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | — | 0.5% | — | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-28 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-27 | 3% | 0.6% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2026-07-26 | — | 0.5% | — | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-25 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-24 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-23 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2026-07-22 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.5% | — | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2026-07-21 | 3% | — | — | — | — | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2026-07-20 | 4% | — | — | — | — | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2026-07-19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-16 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-15 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-14 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-13 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-12 | 0.7% | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-07-11 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | — | 0.7% | — | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-09 | — | 0.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-08 | 2% | 0.5% | — | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-07 | — | 0.5% | — | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania — what are the odds?
- As of September 6, 2026, Eugen Tomac leads at 19%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 22 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 2% on July 8, 2026 to 19% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 17 points.
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 22 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.7% and 30%. The current reading of 19% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Romania” for 22 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, Eugen Tomac leads the field at 19%. The chance for Eugen Tomac has risen from 2% to 19%, ranging between 0.7% and 30% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.