The Morning Line

Who will be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

UFC · tracked since July 8, 2026 · last updated 3:00 PM ET

1.3%

Today’s odds

As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 1.3%.

▼ 1 since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 8Aug 8Sep 16Oct 7Nov 4Song Yadong — Jul 12: 2%Song Yadong — Nov 4: 1.3%1.3%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeNov 1TodayMove
Song Yadong2%1.3%▼ 1
Full history table
DateSong Yadong
2026-11-041.3%
2026-11-012%
2026-10-272%
2026-10-211.1%
2026-10-201.0%
2026-10-191.1%
2026-10-181.1%
2026-10-172%
2026-10-162%
2026-10-152%
2026-10-142%
2026-10-13—
2026-10-12—
2026-10-112%
2026-10-10—
2026-10-09—
2026-10-08—
2026-10-07—
2026-10-05—
2026-10-042%
2026-10-032%
2026-10-02—
2026-10-01—
2026-09-302%
2026-09-293%
2026-09-282%
2026-09-252%
2026-09-242%
2026-09-232%
2026-09-222%
2026-09-212%
2026-09-182%
2026-09-173%
2026-09-161.2%
2026-09-15—
2026-09-141.1%
2026-09-13—
2026-09-111.1%
2026-09-101.1%
2026-09-09—
2026-09-08—
2026-09-07—
2026-09-04—
2026-09-02—
2026-09-013%
2026-08-13—
2026-08-12—
2026-08-11—
2026-08-100.7%
2026-08-09—
2026-08-080.7%
2026-08-070.7%
2026-08-060.7%
2026-08-050.7%
2026-08-040.7%
2026-08-030.7%
2026-08-020.7%
2026-08-010.7%
2026-07-270.4%
2026-07-24—
2026-07-23—
2026-07-220.9%
2026-07-211.1%
2026-07-201.1%
2026-07-15—
2026-07-13—
2026-07-122%
2026-07-08—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — what are the odds?
As of November 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 1.3%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 43 tracked days the odds held near 2%, ending at 1.3% on November 4, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026” for 43 days, since July 8, 2026. As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.3%. The chance for a yes has held near 2%, ranging between 0.4% and 3% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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