Final tracked odds
As of September 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.1%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
UFC · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 5, 2026
0.1%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 1 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | — | 0.1% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Khalil Rountree Jr. |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-01 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-28 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-27 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-26 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-25 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-24 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-23 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-22 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-21 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-20 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-19 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-18 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-13 | 0.1% |
| 2026-08-12 | — |
| 2026-08-11 | — |
| 2026-08-10 | — |
| 2026-08-09 | — |
| 2026-08-08 | — |
| 2026-08-07 | — |
| 2026-08-06 | — |
| 2026-08-05 | — |
| 2026-08-04 | — |
| 2026-08-03 | — |
| 2026-08-02 | — |
| 2026-08-01 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | — |
| 2026-07-29 | — |
| 2026-07-27 | — |
| 2026-07-25 | 0.6% |
| 2026-07-23 | — |
| 2026-07-22 | — |
| 2026-07-21 | — |
| 2026-07-20 | — |
| 2026-07-19 | 1.4% |
| 2026-07-18 | 1.4% |
| 2026-07-17 | 1.4% |
| 2026-07-16 | 1.1% |
| 2026-07-15 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | 1.4% |
| 2026-07-13 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 2% |
| 2026-07-09 | 4% |
| 2026-07-08 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 22 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 4% on July 9, 2026 to 0.1% on September 5, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026” for 22 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 4% to 0.1%, ranging between 0.1% and 4% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.