The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

Everything Else · tracked since August 3, 2026 · last updated 3:00 PM ET

26%

Today’s odds

As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds make Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 26%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Real MadridReal SociedadGetafeOsasunaElche
0%25%50%75%100%Aug 3Aug 28Sep 19Oct 11Nov 4Real Madrid — Aug 7: 42%Real Madrid — Nov 4: 26%26%Real Sociedad — Aug 11: 0.1%Real Sociedad — Nov 4: 0.1%Getafe — Aug 20: 0.1%Getafe — Nov 4: 0.1%Osasuna — Aug 21: 0.1%Osasuna — Nov 4: 0.1%Elche — Sep 1: 0.1%Elche — Nov 4: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeNov 3TodayMove
Real Madrid—26%—
Real Sociedad0.1%0.1%—
Getafe0.1%0.1%—
Osasuna0.1%0.1%—
Elche—0.1%—
Espanyol0.1%0.1%—
Athletic Bilbao—0.1%—
Full history table
DateReal MadridReal SociedadGetafeOsasunaElcheEspanyolAthletic Bilbao
2026-11-0426%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-11-03—0.1%0.1%0.1%—0.1%—
2026-11-02—————0.1%0.1%
2026-10-31—0.1%0.1%0.1%—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-30—0.1%0.1%0.1%—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-29—0.1%0.1%0.1%—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-28—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-27—0.1%——0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-26—0.1%0.1%0.1%—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-25—0.1%0.1%0.1%—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-24—0.1%0.1%0.1%—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-23—0.1%—0.1%—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-22—0.1%—0.1%—0.1%0.1%
2026-10-21————0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-20————0.1%—0.1%
2026-10-19————0.1%—0.1%
2026-10-18————0.1%—0.1%
2026-10-17————0.1%—0.1%
2026-10-16———————
2026-10-15———————
2026-10-14———————
2026-10-12———————
2026-10-11———————
2026-10-10———————
2026-10-09———————
2026-10-08———————
2026-10-07———————
2026-10-06———————
2026-10-05——————0.1%
2026-10-04—0.1%0.1%—0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-10-03——————0.1%
2026-10-02——————0.1%
2026-10-01——————0.1%
2026-09-30—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-29—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-28—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-27—0.1%0.1%0.1%—0.1%—
2026-09-26—0.1%0.1%0.1%—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-25—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-24—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-23—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-22—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-21—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-20——0.1%0.1%———
2026-09-19—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%—
2026-09-18—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%—
2026-09-17—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%—
2026-09-16—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%—
2026-09-15——0.1%0.1%0.1%——
2026-09-14—0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%——
2026-09-13——0.1%—0.1%——
2026-09-12——0.1%————
2026-09-11——0.1%—0.1%——
2026-09-10——0.1%—0.1%——
2026-09-09——0.1%—0.1%——
2026-09-08————0.1%——
2026-09-07————0.1%——
2026-09-06————0.1%——
2026-09-05———————
2026-09-04————0.1%——
2026-09-03——0.1%—0.1%——
2026-09-02——0.1%—0.1%——
2026-09-01———0.1%0.1%——
2026-08-31——0.1%————
2026-08-30———————
2026-08-29——0.1%————
2026-08-28——0.1%————
2026-08-27——0.1%————
2026-08-26——0.1%————
2026-08-25——0.1%————
2026-08-24——0.1%0.1%———
2026-08-23——0.1%————
2026-08-2238%—0.1%0.1%———
2026-08-2140%——0.1%———
2026-08-2040%—0.1%————
2026-08-1940%——————
2026-08-1840%0.1%—————
2026-08-1740%0.1%—————
2026-08-1640%0.1%—————
2026-08-1540%0.1%—————
2026-08-1440%——————
2026-08-1340%0.1%—————
2026-08-1240%0.1%—————
2026-08-1140%0.1%—————
2026-08-1040%——————
2026-08-0940%——————
2026-08-0840%——————
2026-08-0742%——————
2026-08-03———————

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship — what are the odds?
As of November 4, 2026, Real Madrid leads at 26%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship — have the odds gone up or down?
Down. Over the 17 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 42% on August 7, 2026 to 26% on November 4, 2026 — a change of 16 points.
Who will win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 17 tracked days the odds ranged between 26% and 42%. The current reading of 26% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship” for 17 days, since August 3, 2026. As of November 4, 2026, Real Madrid leads the field at 26%. The chance for Real Madrid has fallen from 42% to 26%, ranging between 26% and 42% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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