The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

0.8%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Baltimore Orioles leads at 0.8%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Baltimore OriolesDetroit TigersKansas City RoyalsLos Angeles Angels
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 22Aug 6Aug 22Sep 6Baltimore Orioles — Jul 13: 2%Baltimore Orioles — Sep 6: 0.8%0.8%Detroit Tigers — Sep 1: 1.1%Detroit Tigers — Sep 6: 0.8%Kansas City Royals — Jul 7: 0.4%Kansas City Royals — Sep 6: 0.1%Los Angeles Angels — Jul 7: 0.3%Los Angeles Angels — Sep 6: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
Baltimore Orioles0.9%0.8%—
Detroit Tigers—0.8%—
Kansas City Royals0.1%0.1%—
Los Angeles Angels0.1%0.1%—
Full history table
DateBaltimore OriolesDetroit TigersKansas City RoyalsLos Angeles Angels
2026-09-060.8%0.8%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-050.9%—0.1%0.1%
2026-09-040.9%0.5%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-031.0%0.6%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-021.0%1.1%0.1%0.1%
2026-09-011.1%1.1%0.1%—
2026-08-31———0.1%
2026-08-30———0.1%
2026-08-29————
2026-08-28———0.1%
2026-08-27————
2026-08-26——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-25——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-24——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-23——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-22——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-21——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-20——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-19——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-18——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-172%—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-16——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-15——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-14——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-13——0.1%0.1%
2026-08-120.8%—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-110.8%—0.1%0.1%
2026-08-100.9%—0.1%—
2026-08-090.8%—0.1%—
2026-08-080.8%—0.1%—
2026-08-070.8%—0.1%—
2026-08-06——0.1%—
2026-08-050.9%—0.1%—
2026-08-040.9%—0.1%—
2026-08-032%—0.1%—
2026-08-022%—0.1%—
2026-08-01——0.1%—
2026-07-31——0.1%0.1%
2026-07-30——0.1%0.1%
2026-07-29——0.1%0.1%
2026-07-28——0.2%0.1%
2026-07-272%—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-26———0.1%
2026-07-25——0.1%0.1%
2026-07-242%—0.1%0.1%
2026-07-232%—0.1%0.2%
2026-07-222%—0.1%0.2%
2026-07-212%—0.1%0.2%
2026-07-202%—0.1%—
2026-07-19———0.2%
2026-07-18———0.2%
2026-07-17———0.2%
2026-07-16———0.2%
2026-07-152%——0.2%
2026-07-14———0.2%
2026-07-132%—0.4%0.3%
2026-07-12——0.4%—
2026-07-11———0.3%
2026-07-10———0.3%
2026-07-09———0.3%
2026-07-08——0.4%0.3%
2026-07-07——0.4%0.3%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.8%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 25 tracked days the odds held near 2%, ending at 0.8% on September 6, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series” for 25 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Baltimore Orioles leads at 0.8%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

More questions we track

The Morning Line reports market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. The numbers are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.