Final tracked odds
As of October 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 18%.
▼ 24 since the previous update. ▼ 19 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 19, 2026
18%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 18 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 43% | 18% | ▼ 24 |
Full history table
| Date | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 18% |
| 2026-10-18 | 43% |
| 2026-10-17 | 62% |
| 2026-10-16 | 63% |
| 2026-10-15 | 46% |
| 2026-10-14 | 43% |
| 2026-10-13 | 56% |
| 2026-10-12 | 38% |
| 2026-10-11 | 37% |
| 2026-10-10 | 19% |
| 2026-10-09 | 21% |
| 2026-10-08 | 12% |
| 2026-10-07 | 7% |
| 2026-10-06 | 7% |
| 2026-10-05 | — |
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Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 19, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 18%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 14 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 7% on October 6, 2026 to 18% on October 19, 2026 — a change of 11 points.
- Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 14 tracked days the odds ranged between 7% and 63%. The final reading of 18% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 American League Championship Series” for 14 days, since July 7, 2026. As of October 19, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 18%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 7% to 18%, ranging between 7% and 63% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 19, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.