Final tracked odds
As of September 1, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 93%.
▲ 7 since the previous update. ▲ 66 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since August 26, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 1, 2026
93%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 31 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| On Nov 16, 2026 | 86% | 93% | ▲ 7 |
Full history table
| Date | On Nov 16, 2026 |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 93% |
| 2026-08-31 | 86% |
| 2026-08-30 | 87% |
| 2026-08-29 | 86% |
| 2026-08-28 | 88% |
| 2026-08-27 | 85% |
| 2026-08-26 | 26% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, September 1, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 93%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 26% on August 26, 2026 to 93% on September 1, 2026 — a change of 67 points.
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 26% and 93%. The final reading of 93% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell on Nov 16, 2026” for 7 days, since August 26, 2026. As of September 1, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 93%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 26% to 93%, ranging between 26% and 93% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 1, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.