Final tracked odds
As of August 10, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 38%.
▼ 9 since the previous update. ▲ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 10, 2026
38%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 9 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48% | 38% | ▼ 9 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | 38% |
| 2026-08-09 | 48% |
| 2026-08-08 | 56% |
| 2026-08-07 | 42% |
| 2026-08-06 | 40% |
| 2026-08-05 | 36% |
| 2026-08-04 | 36% |
| 2026-08-03 | 36% |
| 2026-08-02 | 36% |
| 2026-08-01 | 36% |
| 2026-07-11 | 38% |
| 2026-07-10 | 38% |
| 2026-07-09 | 38% |
| 2026-07-08 | 38% |
| 2026-07-07 | 43% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 10, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 38%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 15 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 43% on July 7, 2026 to 38% on August 10, 2026 — a change of 5 points.
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 15 tracked days the odds ranged between 36% and 56%. The final reading of 38% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026” for 15 days, since July 7, 2026. As of August 10, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 38%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 43% to 38%, ranging between 36% and 56% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 10, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.