Final tracked odds
As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 48%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 31, 2026
48%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46% | 48% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 48% |
| 2026-08-30 | 46% |
| 2026-08-29 | 47% |
| 2026-08-28 | 48% |
| 2026-08-27 | 47% |
| 2026-08-26 | 47% |
| 2026-08-25 | 47% |
| 2026-08-24 | 46% |
| 2026-08-23 | 48% |
| 2026-08-22 | 48% |
| 2026-08-21 | 46% |
| 2026-08-20 | 50% |
| 2026-08-19 | 50% |
| 2026-08-16 | 44% |
| 2026-08-15 | 38% |
| 2026-08-14 | 36% |
| 2026-08-13 | 33% |
| 2026-08-12 | 25% |
| 2026-08-11 | 23% |
| 2026-08-10 | 22% |
| 2026-08-09 | 24% |
| 2026-08-08 | 21% |
| 2026-08-07 | 23% |
| 2026-08-06 | 26% |
| 2026-08-05 | 26% |
| 2026-08-04 | 22% |
| 2026-08-03 | 21% |
| 2026-08-02 | 22% |
| 2026-08-01 | 22% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 48%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 29 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 22% on August 1, 2026 to 48% on August 31, 2026 — a change of 26 points.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 29 tracked days the odds ranged between 21% and 50%. The final reading of 48% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31” for 29 days, since August 1, 2026. As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 48%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 22% to 48%, ranging between 21% and 50% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 31, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.