Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, October 26, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 95%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 36 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 65% on July 20, 2026 to 95% on October 26, 2026 — a change of 30 points.

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 36 tracked days the odds ranged between 62% and 95%. The final reading of 95% sits at the top of that range.

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since July 20, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 26, 2026

95%

Final tracked odds

As of October 26, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 95%.

▲ 8 since the previous update. ▲ 10 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Oct 25	Today	Move
Yes	86%	95%	▲ 8

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-10-26	95%
2026-10-25	86%
2026-10-24	94%
2026-10-23	94%
2026-10-22	93%
2026-10-21	92%
2026-10-20	88%
2026-10-19	85%
2026-10-18	84%
2026-10-17	83%
2026-10-16	86%
2026-10-15	84%
2026-10-14	93%
2026-10-13	93%
2026-10-12	94%
2026-10-11	92%
2026-10-10	92%
2026-10-09	94%
2026-10-08	94%
2026-10-07	94%
2026-10-06	94%
2026-10-05	94%
2026-10-02	94%
2026-10-01	93%
2026-07-31	63%
2026-07-30	64%
2026-07-29	62%
2026-07-28	64%
2026-07-27	64%
2026-07-26	66%
2026-07-25	66%
2026-07-24	68%
2026-07-23	68%
2026-07-22	68%
2026-07-21	69%
2026-07-20	65%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, October 26, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 95%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 36 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 65% on July 20, 2026 to 95% on October 26, 2026 — a change of 30 points.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 36 tracked days the odds ranged between 62% and 95%. The final reading of 95% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31” for 36 days, since July 20, 2026. As of October 26, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 95%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 65% to 95%, ranging between 62% and 95% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 26, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.